With Spring Training underway, SportsCapPro.com has identified one of the best value bets in the NL Central race—the Cincinnati Reds to win the division at 5-1 odds. The oddsmakers currently have the Brewers (-275) and Cubs (EVEN) ahead of the Reds, but this young and talented team, under the leadership of new manager Tito Francona, could be the surprise of the season.
Why the Reds Are a Legitimate Contender
After an injury-plagued 2024 season that derailed their potential, the Reds are entering 2025 healthy and ready to compete. More importantly, the hiring of Hall of Fame-bound manager Tito Francona marks a turning point. The Reds struggled with fundamentals under David Bell, often making costly mistakes on the basepaths and in the field. Francona, who led the Red Sox to World Series titles in 2004 and 2007, is known for his disciplined approach and ability to get the most out of his roster.
But this team isn’t just about a managerial upgrade—it’s loaded with talent on both sides of the ball.
A Potential Top-5 Pitching Rotation
If the Reds can stay healthy, their rotation has the potential to be among the best in the National League.
- Hunter Greene (RHP) – The 2024 All-Star regularly touches 100 MPH and is developing a nasty slider.
- Nick Lodolo (LHP) – A high-upside lefty who, when healthy, has flashed dominant stuff.
- Nick Martinez (RHP) – Re-signed despite bigger offers elsewhere, proving his commitment to the Reds.
- Brady Singer (RHP) – A solid veteran addition after posting a 3.71 ERA over 179 innings with the Royals.
- Rhett Lowder (RHP) – The wild card—a 22-year-old 1st-round pick who posted an incredible 1.17 ERA in six starts at the end of last season.
This rotation is deep, with Andrew Abbott, Graham Ashcraft, and Brandon Williamson as additional options, plus veteran Wade Miley expected to return from injury.
The bullpen, led by closer Alexis Díaz, alongside Emilio Pagán and Taylor Rogers, should be solid enough to support the rotation.
An Explosive Lineup Led by Elly De La Cruz
The Reds’ offense has power, speed, and versatility, and if they stay healthy, they can be a force in the NL Central.
Projected Starting Lineup
1️⃣ TJ Friedl (CF)
2️⃣ Elly De La Cruz (SS)
3️⃣ Matt McLain (2B)
4️⃣ Tyler Stephenson (C)
5️⃣ Jake Fraley (RF)
6️⃣ Spencer Steer (1B)
7️⃣ Jeimer Candelario (3B)
8️⃣ Gavin Lux (DH)
9️⃣ Austin Hayes (LF)
Key Bench Players
- Will Benson (OF)
- Noelvi Marte (IF)
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (IF)
The X-factor? Elly De La Cruz. He was an All-Star last season, hitting .259 with 25 home runs, 76 RBIs, and 67 stolen bases, but he also led MLB in strikeouts (218) and errors (29). If Francona and new hitting coach Chris Valaika can help him refine his approach, De La Cruz could be an MVP candidate.
The Best Bet: Reds to Win the NL Central at 5-1
At 5-1 odds, the Reds have tremendous value in a division that doesn’t have an overwhelming favorite. While the Brewers and Cubs are being priced as the top teams, neither is invincible, and the Reds have the talent to compete.
How to Bet This Team
✅ Reds to Win NL Central (+500) – Great value for a team with high upside.
✅ Reds Over 78.5 Wins – A smart hedge bet in case they fall just short of winning the division.
Final Thoughts
The Cincinnati Reds are young, talented, and well-managed, making them one of the most intriguing longshots in baseball this season. If their rotation stays healthy and their young stars develop under Francona, they absolutely have a path to the NL Central crown.
What do you think? Are the Reds being undervalued? Drop a comment below and let’s discuss!
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